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Olaf Scholz Today

Olaf Scholz Today – The Chancellor has declared a turning point in history. We haven’t seen each other for seven weeks. Since then, Scholz has been chastised for not having enough leadership and being too tentative. Are the claims justified? Kai Clement of the capital studio ARD During a special session of the Bundestag on the war in Ukraine at the end of February, Chancellor Olaf Scholz raised high hopes.

His speech was eventually to be known simply as “Time Turn Speech”. Scholz promised nothing less than a new security policy on Sunday, February 27. Analyst Scholz drew five action orders. First, there are arms deliveries. Second, sanctions to “dissuade Putin from pursuing his war path”.

Third, NATO’s obligation to provide assistance is undeniable, ie the Alliance’s premise “one for all, all for one”. Fourth, more money means more security. These include a special fund of 100 billion euros for the Bundeswehr and a new energy policy that devotes around 2% of GDP to defence. Last but not least.

“As much diplomacy as possible without being stupid”, says the author. SPD Co-Chair Saskia Esken now believes – seven weeks after the Chancellor’s speech – that the Chancellor made a promise and kept it. She says the government and the traffic light coalition are firmly on Ukraine’s side. From the start, the response has been to provide armor and impose severe penalties.

Roderich Kiesewetter, head of foreign policy at the CDU, draws up a clear interim balance sheet. According to the opposition, the speech was empty rather than a speech about a turning point: “So far, it seems to be rhetoric.” Kiesewetter asks that previous announcements be followed up now. The White House statistics sheet on American arms transfers is available online.

Among them are 16 helicopters and 200 armored personnel carriers. On the other hand, the federal government is covered in detail. Because she doesn’t want to make herself vulnerable in the Kremlin, it makes her vulnerable in public discourse. Added to this is the ongoing discussion about heavier weapons.

Yet they are absent from discourse at the turn of the century. Arms deliveries were still considered new at the time. This is no longer enough for Ukraine. Scholz’s solution: an extra billion dollars for Ukrainian purchases. Opposition politician Kiesewetter sees them as weak.

Olaf Scholz Today

“Ransom”, as the money is called. “And this can also be done by delivering heavy weapons”, Germany must become a security provider. Germany has yet to meet NATO’s defense budget target of 2% of gross domestic product. The Chancellor promised to stick to it year after year after his turn-of-the-century speech.

However, this estimate does not correspond to the federal budget, but only taking into account the special fund of 100 billion euros. However, it falters. This requires a change in the Basic Law and the Union as a whole. You have been warned that you cannot help as a substitute on the bench.

According to CDU leader Friedrich Merz, there is also a lack of commitment. No blank checks will be issued. It will be “very, very hard” if it stays that way, according to Merz. Especially when even the partners of the traffic lights of the coalition do not agree. At the moment, they’re mostly debating the big guns.

They are supported by Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann from the FDP and green Europe specialist Anton Hofreiter from the Greens and Michael Roth from the SPD. All three recently traveled to western Ukraine. When asked if the Chancellery had hesitated, Strack-Zimmermann simply replied “Yes” on Deutschlandfunk.

The Union knows how to exploit the tensions of the traffic light system. She plans to appeal to the Bundestag herself for the delivery of heavy weapons, knowing full well that this will aggravate the schism. On the other hand, there is more agreement on the issues of sanctions and energy – at least among the leading representatives of the coalition.

Stop importing Russian gas and oil: Yes, but not immediately. This is how Robert Habeck, Minister for the Green Economy, sees it. Accordingly, his provisional verdict in the Bundestag at the end of March was: “This is how turnaround works.

“Can you explain how straightening works? Hofreiter, a Green Party politician, thinks things are moving too slowly. An oil exit is also likely in a few weeks. The traffic lights are still flashing. Scholz promised a lot. Some of the brutality, like that of Bucha, has faded, and amendments to the Basic Law are not moving with the speed of the conflict.

Scholz is neither Basta’s chancellor, as his speech might have suggested, nor the man who made the oft-quoted, decades-old claim that anyone who commands leadership will also receive it from him. It has a large SPD section on its side which is as closed off as possible.

An SPD which, the day before, was still thinking in terms of “change through trade”. Scholz must also lead a three-person polyphonic alliance to a compromise. This is called an intermediary. Or simply, procrastinators. Ukraine is preparing for a Russian military invasion. The European Central Bank decides the future direction of its monetary policy. And the Germans travel practically as before the Easter epidemic. In the FAZ newsletter you will find everything you need to know.

Olaf Scholz Today

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